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Thread: Gehrke: As long as Teflon Trump drives the partisan divide, his popularity in Utah wi

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    Gehrke: As long as Teflon Trump drives the partisan divide, his popularity in Utah wi

    By Robert Gehrke
    · 1 hour ago

    It would be an understatement to say that, six months into Donald Trump’s presidency, Margaret Ernstrom doesn’t like what she’s seeing.

    “He behaves like a teenager who needs to have his phone taken away,” she says. “He acts like a kid who has a temper tantrum every time things don’t go his way and thinks that he’s still on a reality TV show. … He doesn’t give respect to the office he holds and he has no idea what the definition of diplomacy is.”

    After months of weathering turmoil and turnover, enduring the Russia scandal and Senate setbacks, and firing off impulsive Tweets and firing a dogged FBI director, you might think that faith in the president might be shaken.

    You’d be wrong. The recent poll by The Salt Lake Tribune and Hinckley Institute of Politics shows that more Utahns still approve of the job he’s doing than disapprove.

    snip

    How is that happening? Are people just not paying attention?

    It seems like there are a few things at play.

    snip

    …more jobs were created in the last six months of the Obama administration than the first six of Trump’s, and quarterly economic growth was regularly more robust under Obama than it has been under Trump.

    snip

    This president appears to be a partisan wedge that has divided Utah into two tribes — those who see him as an erratic egomaniac and those who think he’ll “Make America Great Again,” dismissing negative news as media bias.

    Gehrke: As long as Teflon Trump drives the partisan divide, his popularity in Utah will remain strong - The Salt Lake Tribune

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    Remember last fall when Evan McMullin (devout Mormon endorsed by Romney) entered the race as an independent in Utah and polls showed Hillary Clinton might have a chance there? Yet Trump still came out on top. Nobody expected that. Lets go to the wayback machine...

    "With the election only weeks away, Hillary Clinton appears to have the lead and the momentum. As of this writing, the FiveThirtyEight polls-only forecast gives her around an 87 percent chance of winning — up from around 55 percent in late September – and that may not have fully absorbed the fallout of Trump’s lewd video, debatable debate performance or the daily deluge of fresh scandal jeopardizing his candidacy. But if Clinton doesn’t run away with this, there is another candidate who may also have seen his chances of becoming president skyrocket. The third-most likely person to be the next president of the United States: Evan McMullin."

    How Evan McMullin Could Win Utah And The Presidency | FiveThirtyEight

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