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Thread: Copeland: the by-election victory that defied the rules of British politics1 Okay?

  1. #1
    He JUST FUCKED up AGAIN! BAZINGA DrumpF's Avatar
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    Copeland: the by-election victory that defied the rules of British politics1 Okay?

    It just should not have happened. It is, after all, one of the immutable rules of British politics that Her Majesty’s Opposition does not lose a seat to the Government in a by-election.

    Or to put it another way, ruling parties simply do not win a sitting Opposition seat midway through their term.

    Only this time the Conservatives did just that, with their by-election capture of Copeland, a seat held by Labour since the constituency was formed in 1983.

    To call it historic is, for once, something of an understatement.Copeland: the by-election victory that defied the rules of British politics

    @Dangermouse A little help here. How? did it so?

  2. #2
    Wrinkly Member Dangermouse's Avatar
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    It's a puzzler. The precedent is that the last time a sitting government won a by-election was in the 1930's. Copeland has been labour for nearly 50 years. It's a small mostly country constituency with one significant employer, a nuclear power station. I believe it was a strong Brexit leave vote area too. Both those would count against a Labour party still wracked with infighting, with antinuclear, and half-hearted remainer Jeremy Corbyn as leader. Having said that, there were two by-elections last night, and the other one, in Stoke, was the only one in the news, right up until Labour won it routing UKIP, when attention switched.

    There's a feeling among grassroots Labour supporters that the BBC is not so much "establishment" biased (but neutral) than actually hostile to them. (and Corbyn in particular.)

    Stoke and Copeland by-election results recap: Labour LOSE to Tories but keep Ukip at bay in dramatic night - Mirror Online

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    The Russians did it.

  4. #4
    Veteran Member Dr.Knuckles's Avatar
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    Really?

    The Government doesn't win by-elections?

    Did that just become some decades long self- fulfilling prophecy? Like people in the region have a giggle and say "well we all know the governing party won't win" but then saying that actually affects voting?

    Odd quirk, if this is real.

  5. #5
    Member tnbskts's Avatar
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    I'm glad to see them beat UKIP.

    I'll be interested to see some analysis of the Copeland result. The Tories aren't even pretending any more when it comes to attacking regular people. The voters must be desperate if they've decided to vote Tory anyway.

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