1.7 million jobs to go away when automated trucks hit the road

Dec 2011
1,807
724
#1
Robots could replace 1.7 million American truckers in the next decade - Los Angeles Times
Trucking paid for Scott Spindola to take a road trip down the coast of Spain, climb halfway up Machu Picchu, and sample a Costa Rican beach for two weeks. The 44-year-old from Covina now makes up to $70,000 per year, with overtime, hauling goods from the port of Long Beach. He has full medical coverage and plans to drive until he retires.

But in a decade, his big rig may not have any need for him.

Carmaking giants and ride-sharing upstarts racing to put autonomous vehicles on the road are dead set on replacing drivers, and that includes truckers. Trucks without human hands at the wheel could be on American roads within a decade, say analysts and industry executives.

At risk is one of the most common jobs in many states, and one of the last remaining careers that offer middle-class pay to those without a college degree. There are 1.7 million truckers in America, and another 1.7 million drivers of taxis, buses and delivery vehicles. That compares with 4.1 million construction workers.

While factory jobs have gushed out of the country over the last decade, trucking has grown and pay has risen. Truckers make $42,500 per year on average, putting them firmly in the middle class.
So, fans of automation, tell me, when we creatively destroy these 1.7 million jobs, do we honestly expect to creatively create 1.7 million programmers and repair people for these trucks?

Of course not. They're only going to need a handful of either for that. So what do we do with all those additional unemployed people that come from eliminating all those jobs?

Shoot 'em? Let 'em starve?
 
Likes: 1 person
Jun 2014
44,883
44,280
United States
#4
Robots could replace 1.7 million American truckers in the next decade - Los Angeles Times

So, fans of automation, tell me, when we creatively destroy these 1.7 million jobs, do we honestly expect to creatively create 1.7 million programmers and repair people for these trucks?

Of course not. They're only going to need a handful of either for that. So what do we do with all those additional unemployed people that come from eliminating all those jobs?

Shoot 'em? Let 'em starve?

Let 'em become horse drawn carriage drivers.
 
Likes: 2 people
Mar 2012
52,967
35,049
New Hampshire
#5
Someone's going to have to build and run those automated trucks.

Welcome to the 21st century.
True, however they wont need drivers. Those jobs will be going away. Taxis and buses are set to be automated in the not so distant future as well.
 
Mar 2012
52,967
35,049
New Hampshire
#6
Let 'em become horse drawn carriage drivers.
Am thinking at some point, we might have to consider a guaranteed basic wage for everyone, even just temporarily. There is going to be a lot of people out of work at least for awhile until schools restructure for the future.
 
Likes: 1 person
Dec 2011
1,807
724
#7
Let 'em become horse drawn carriage drivers.
Nice non-answer. I hope you don't mind paying more taxes for a bigger welfare state.

Am thinking at some point, we might have to consider a guaranteed basic wage for everyone, even just temporarily. There is going to be a lot of people out of work at least for awhile until schools restructure for the future.
The future sees fewer jobs, period. An automated economy does not need a whole lot of programmers or repair people relative to the workers that were replaced - because the point of an automated economy is to cut labor costs in the absolute / overall sense, not shift work (ergo labor costs) elsewhere to an equal magnitude.

Our schools are perfectly suited for today's and the future workforce / economy - the problem is we have less demand for workers, and that decline is permanent.

The next step after automated drivers is going to be 3d printed vehicles. Then there goes manufacturing employment, worldwide.
 
Jun 2014
44,883
44,280
United States
#8
Am thinking at some point, we might have to consider a guaranteed basic wage for everyone, even just temporarily. There is going to be a lot of people out of work at least for awhile until schools restructure for the future.
We could create plenty of useful jobs, if we got over the stigma of allowing our government to provide the wages for those jobs. For instance, young people could visit older people in their homes to assist them with their housework and with their basic health-care needs.
 
Nov 2014
32,401
8,307
TN
#10
Someone's going to have to build and run those automated trucks.

Welcome to the 21st century.
Howey yes someone is going to build those automated trucks, The People that are building trucks now will be building them, The Drivers will lose their jobs. There was a time it took 4 people to drive trains. Now it only takes one. What happened to those 3 jobs.... they did not get jobs building trains.