- May 2019
The states you mention in the order you mention (as of August 2019) looks pretty bleak for Trump/Pence 2020.Actually quite a few analysts are saying that Minnesota may flip because of the weird stuff their state legislature is trying to push on them.
However they are also saying that Arizona may flip so that would be a +1 electoral swing in favor of the democrats. Arizona chances of flipping seem slimmer though so if the democrats lose Minnesota and everything else stays the same it would spell big trouble for whoever the democratic candidate is.
Currently Arizona, Minnesota and Florida are the top swing states that appear to be able to go either way.
After those you have Maine, Michigan, Nebraska, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Expect the candidates to spend a large majority of their time in the upper Midwest and on the east coast this and next year. Between that they will be flying back and forth from Florida to Arizona with a stop in Nebraska. Can't wait to see Trump again, I went to his last rally and it was pretty fun.
MN: -14 approval rating
Tracking Trump: The President’s Standing Across America