Do You Think There is a Big Blue Wave Coming?

Do You Think There is a Big Blue Wave Coming?


  • Total voters
    17
  • Poll closed .
Jan 2015
55,008
16,550
Great State of Texas
So, nows your chance to go on the record.

How many still believe there is some big blue wave coming?

I don't believe there is a big blue wave coming.

In fact, I don't think there was ever a big blue wave coming.

I have seen no evidence of such, except for maybe some polls, but we all know how reliable they can be.

I would argue just the opposite.

Nearly every election since 2010 has been a referendum on the Democrat Party and the fake news MSM and that referendum will continue well past 2020.
 
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Jets

Moderator
Feb 2011
23,901
14,897
New York
I agree that the Democratic party has the advantage going into the midterm elections. Not because of President Trump, but because history has demonstrated the party that has both Congress and the WH ( in this case the GOP) tends to lose seats. Not sure if it’s a wave...


Jmo
 
Mar 2012
60,106
41,528
New Hampshire
I agree that the Democratic party has the advantage going into the midterm elections. Not because of President Trump, but because history has demonstrated the party that has both Congress and the WH ( in this case the GOP) tends to lose seats. Not sure if it’s a wave...


Jmo
I would think under normal circumstances 23 seats isnt hard to get. But these days? Completely unpredictable.
 
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Jan 2012
1,218
432
SoCal
I posted something similar back at the beginning of the summer and my prediction then as now is that Republicans would lose a handful of seats in the House and would pick up a seat in the Senate.

My reasoning on this is for a couple different reasons. Clearly some pollsters are doing the equivalent of push polling. You can clearly see in the RCP generic avaerage where the Democratic support fell by several points and for large drops quite quickly. That mysteriously and magically happened....right around actual primary dates where there was an actual election result that the “polls” now had to match.

Second, taking an average of the polls is problematic. An average would work if they were in some sort of close spread or had something resembling agreement. However the spread on the polls last I looked was from even aka plus zero to +12 for the Democratic Party. Adding in the margin of error and you are at from +3 Republicans to +15 Democratic. Averaging such a spread doesn’ fix bias. It simply shows whatever is being measured can’t be measured correctly by experts. An 18 point spread is predictive of exactly nothing.

The economy is doing reasonably well and Trump favorable are up for him. You wonder what percentage of people are willing to expressive positive sentiments to news agencies that are found to be engaged in 92% negative coverage but within that dynamic the percentage seeing Trump positively has risen by several percentage points.

In the Democrats favor they have really brought in the money this year and they are fielding more candidates in more races than they have done for the last several cycles.
 
Jan 2015
55,008
16,550
Great State of Texas
I agree that the Democratic party has the advantage going into the midterm elections. Not because of President Trump, but because history has demonstrated the party that has both Congress and the WH ( in this case the GOP) tends to lose seats. Not sure if it’s a wave...


Jmo
There have been exceptions to that rule as well.
 
Jun 2013
18,955
17,077
Here
Not going to try to predict, as some might. Seems to jinx whatever one might want.

One might ask if Americans have learned anything in the last two years, what it is they learned and how 2018 might be an indication of what they learned.

Of course, it could be a referendum on how well he who controls the propaganda. controls the elections, especially now that blatant lying seems to be allowed and even promoted by some, foreign and domestic, to the United States.

Is the free press "the enemy of the American people" or are those who try to float that boat, really the enemies of America, it's people and one of the institutions that keep it free?
 
Jul 2015
2,693
1,609
Maryland USA
I don't know if there is a big blue wave, time will tell. I agree with our founders, that the House is the unit of government that is the closest to the people. Accordingly, as such, I have always felt that it is best when the House is controlled by a party different then that controlling the Senate or sitting in the Oval Office. Such a scenario best serves our system of checks and balances.
 
Jan 2015
55,008
16,550
Great State of Texas
I don't know if there is a big blue wave, time will tell. I agree with our founders, that the House is the unit of government that is the closest to the people. Accordingly, as such, I have always felt that it is best when the House is controlled by a party different then that controlling the Senate or sitting in the Oval Office. Such a scenario best serves our system of checks and balances.
There is no big blue wave.

The Democrats will lose a landslide, just as they have in nearly every election since 2010.
 
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