- Jul 2014
Yep. Lived in OC for a good portion of my life. Grew up there. It was just a matter of time, due to the demographics, that would go blue. And for the first time in a long time, it did, in 2016. Much of that IMO had to do with the fact that most GOP members in that area were VERY CONSERVATIVE.The decline of the California GOP is nearly complete, as the reddest part of the West Coast has gone blue: In Reagan's California, Democrats take a majority
This is simply the result of the same demographic and political forces that the GOP has been warning itself about since before 2012 and the "autopsy" white paper that followed. The current GOP is following Trump to have a stronger and stronger hold on a smaller and smaller portion of American voters.
Californians are simply not much interested in most of the policies and rhetoric that hold the center of the party nationally. We want different things than the national party is offering. The CA state party might offer something popular on its own, but it's still tied to Trump's GOP, and that's literally killing the party here.
The question is whether California is a harbinger for the rest of the nation, as it has been so many times before. CA Republicans have given up and they hope that big electoral wins elsewhere will bring California back to the conservative fold. It seems to me that 2020 will be highly competitive but a sea change in the direction of the GOP seems highly unlikely.
At some point the GOP will have to remake itself. Maybe Dems will make that easy by following young activists hard to the left. That would allow the GOP to become the break on leftward movement that it was for so many years, back before Gingrich. Let's hope, for the sake of American politics, that they can manage to provide a counterbalance to the Dems here in the future. Every American state needs and deserves (at least) two healthy political parties that speak to the needs of citizens.
BTW, I live in a very conservative part of the state. Republicans can still get elected in the rural farm and mountain areas of California. But losing Orange County (particularly with so many defections this long before the primaries) doesn't look good.
I also live in a conservative area now - but I don't think it AS conservative as OC was just a mere 10 years ago