- Jul 2014
I don't why you keep focusing on states that were never going to be swing states. I mean it pretty much a given that Missouri would never vote for Clinton.Take a look at the states you said the pollsters “got right”:
I had noted that Trump beat the pollsters numbers by 7.5 in Missouri.
In Ohio he beat the polls by 4.6
In Iowa it was 6.5
In Minnesota the polls were way off in terms of Trump’s margin of victory.
In those states, if you are going to talk about margin of error, the pollsters got it wrong. Trump performed better than than the polling and the gap was bigger than the margin of error.
As much as everyone wants to make excuses for the pollsters, the fact remains that the media and many Clinton supporters were shocked by the election results. I can post videos showing that.
The point is, regardless of what spin anybody puts on it, the polls leading up to the 2016 vote were not helpful to Clinton. The media created the expectation that Clinton was going to win and it probably caused some voter apathy among people who would have voted for Clinton.