Warren and Sanders gain on Biden in New Hampshire

Mar 2012
57,437
39,034
New Hampshire
#1
Interesting yet still a bit early. Combined they get more than Biden. Important for qualification for third debate.

Former Vice President Joe Biden has a small lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders(I-Vt.) in the first-in-the-nation primary state of New Hampshire, but Sanders and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) posted solid gains and are closing the gap on the front-runner, according to a new poll.

The latest Suffolk University-Boston Globe poll finds Biden at 21 percent support, followed by Sanders at 17 percent and Warren at 14 percent. No other candidate has double-digit support in the Granite State. Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) is in fourth place at 8 percent support, followed by South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 6 percent and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-Hawaii) at 3 percent. Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) is at 1 percent support and former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) registered 0 percent support.

Sanders’s support is the firmest in the field, with 48 percent of his supporters saying they will definitely support him, followed by 45 percent of Biden’s supporters and 35 percent of Warren’s supporters who said they will not change their minds.

Sanders, Warren gain on Biden in New Hampshire
 
Feb 2010
34,533
24,446
between Moon and NYC
#2
Interesting yet still a bit early. Combined they get more than Biden. Important for qualification for third debate.

Former Vice President Joe Biden has a small lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders(I-Vt.) in the first-in-the-nation primary state of New Hampshire, but Sanders and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) posted solid gains and are closing the gap on the front-runner, according to a new poll.

The latest Suffolk University-Boston Globe poll finds Biden at 21 percent support, followed by Sanders at 17 percent and Warren at 14 percent. No other candidate has double-digit support in the Granite State. Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) is in fourth place at 8 percent support, followed by South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 6 percent and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-Hawaii) at 3 percent. Sen. Cory Booker (D-N.J.) is at 1 percent support and former Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) registered 0 percent support.

Sanders’s support is the firmest in the field, with 48 percent of his supporters saying they will definitely support him, followed by 45 percent of Biden’s supporters and 35 percent of Warren’s supporters who said they will not change their minds.

Sanders, Warren gain on Biden in New Hampshire

As you note it is still early. There are currently so many candidates on these "multi-night" "overflowing stage" democrat debates that the events are more novelty than meaningful. Red meat for the political nerds <raises hand> but still not engrossing the masses.

After the herd gets culled by 10 or 14 there will be a lot more time for focusing on the key players.





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Mar 2012
57,437
39,034
New Hampshire
#3
As you note it is still early. There are currently so many candidates on these "multi-night" "overflowing stage" democrat debates that the events are more novelty than meaningful. Red meat for the political nerds <raises hand> but still not engrossing the masses.

After the herd gets culled by 10 or 14 there will be a lot more time for focusing on the key players.





..
Agree except the Catch 22 is these polls are qualifiers for the next debate and if one doesnt do well in the polls they dont get in the debate. Which essentially kills their campaign. 11 of them are at 0 polling. I believe so far, only 8 have qualified for the Sept debate.
 
Jun 2014
48,621
49,123
United States
#4
If Bernie can't win New Hampshire, he might as well throw in the towel. He won NH in 2016 with 60.4% of the vote, compared to Clinton's 38%. I'm surprised that Biden is leading in NH, although he's also leading significantly in nationwide polls. Meanwhile, the post-debate bump that Kamala Harris got after the first round of debates has pretty much vanished.
 
Likes: skirby54

boontito

Future Staff
Jan 2008
107,009
97,908
Most Insidious
#5
Interesting snapshot of the campaign so far. Still a long way out but we are seeing which candidate's messages aren't (so far) getting any traction at all.
 
Likes: bajisima
Mar 2012
57,437
39,034
New Hampshire
#7
If Bernie can't win New Hampshire, he might as well throw in the towel. He won NH in 2016 with 60.4% of the vote, compared to Clinton's 38%. I'm surprised that Biden is leading in NH, although he's also leading significantly in nationwide polls. Meanwhile, the post-debate bump that Kamala Harris got after the first round of debates has pretty much vanished.
Agree about Bernie but he wont. He will stick in to the end. In fact his supporters here want Warren to drop out and support him! He and Warren should easily be 1 and 2 here. Surprised Beto is polling at 0.