Western approach to Iran fails; costs US allies

Aug 2010
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West Egg
#1
Brazil, a once standout ally of the US in South America, seems to have shifted its positions;

The road to rock bottom for relations between Brazil and the United States, a dispute that now threatens business ties between the two Western Hemisphere economic giants, began in Brasilia in March.

Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was trying to convince Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva to drop or postpone his controversial efforts to negotiate a nuclear deal with Iran, and support a new round of sanctions instead.

Lula refused. Then, he dropped a diplomatic bombshell, telling Clinton he was worried Iran would become another Iraq -- that is, that the United States was on a path to war, according to sources familiar with the exchange.

Clinton bristled, replying that Lula wasn't taking into account the fact that Barack Obama was now president, rather than George W. Bush, the sources said on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the talks.
However, Brazil's softer stance has proved to be a step-forward:

Two months later, Lula was standing in Tehran alongside Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, trumpeting a fuel swap deal for Iran's nuclear program -- an agreement that was immediately ignored by the United States and most other major world powers, who pursued sanctions anyway.

Today, the fallout from Iran remains worse than either side will acknowledge publicly.

Brazilian officials complain in private that their good-faith efforts to broker a peace deal were brushed aside, with little regard for Brazil's status as an emerging power. Meanwhile, officials in Washington are angry that an ostensible regional ally interfered on an issue they feel is one of the biggest long-term threats to global security.
Obama doesn't quite live up to expectations:

Nerves between the two countries were already raw following other disputes including a narrowly averted trade war this spring over U.S. cotton subsidies; differences over the handling of last year's coup in Honduras; and the disappointing outcome of the climate summit in Copenhagen in December.

The clashes have been especially disappointing since both sides had anticipated improved ties under Obama, who made a point of fawning over Lula last year, calling him "my man" and "the most popular politician on earth."
What does this mean for you/the economy?

The U.S. Congress is now less likely to reduce tariffs on imports of ethanol, of which Brazil is the world's No. 2 producer behind the United States, Republican and Democratic sources on Capitol Hill told Reuters.

Negotiations have stalled for a Trade and Investment Framework Agreement, or TIFA, between the U.S. and Brazil. A TIFA basically provides a road map for more in-depth free trade negotiations between countries, and the issue has been a priority for diplomats for both countries for some time.
and finally, a more honest reasoning:

Nevertheless, Steven Bipes, the executive director of the U.S. Section of the Brazil-U.S. Business Council, said he was "frustrated" at recent developments that have hampered bilateral trade.

"Congress needs to realize that this isn't just what Brazil wants -- these issues help with American jobs, too," he said.
Source: Reuters

Thoughts?